Saturday, February 03, 2007

Unequivocal. Very Likely

"Unequivocal" and "Very Likely" are two terms that have been repeatedly popping up, the last two days. These are terms from IPCC's latest summary report on climate change. Btw..."Very likely" implies a greater than 90% chance.
Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global mean sea level
...

Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is
very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations

Here are the projections for future surface temperatures. The worst case scenario (A2) is the one in red. 4 degrees and upwards of temperature increase for almost all of India. Summers are horrible enough now. Imagine the future!


When 2500+ expert scientific reviewers, 800+ contributing authors, 450+ lead authors from 130+ countries over a period of 6 years come out with a report that says we are headed for trouble, the debate is over. It is time to listen and act.

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